Team,
One more day of noise. And then we get the river card…CPI!
-Andrew
Overnight
German CPI came out in-line with expectations at +.3% MoM and +6.2% YoY
10Y and 30Y Treasury Futures
The bond bounce continued. Perhaps the China growth scare led to a bid here overnight!
Equity Dashboard
Weak breadth with only 35.3% advancers
Volatility expanded pretty sharply this morning, which is unusual to occur days BEFORE a binary event. But by the time European markets closed, the VIX and VVIX were already getting crushed. Was this our big volatility event? My baseline assumption is that there is a bigger volatility event to come soon, but we will only know for sure with 20/20 hindsight.
Index MTD August Performance
The indices are experiencing a minor pullback in August.
Index After Hours Price Action
ES S&P 500 -.06% - Below 20-day SMA & Undercut the Monthly VAL
NQ Nasdaq -.04% - Below 20-day SMA & Monthly Value Area & Testing 50-day SMA
YM Dow Jones -.08% - Above 20-day SMA & Fell Below Monthly POC
RTY Russell 2000 -.10% - Below 20-day SMA & Tested the Monthly VAL
Economic Data
In the following sections of tonight’s update, I’ll cover my research in preparation for tomorrow’s trading session
✅ Trend Model Update - Our proprietary indicator that informs us on how aggressive/defensive to position in the market
✅Market Strategy - My trading plan
✅ Today’s Trade Blotter and Position Update
✅Daily Watchlist - We scan thousands of stocks and hand-pick the best reward/risk opportunities
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