Team,
Hope everyone had a great Monday! Only one more full trading session until CPI! Let’s take at how markets are shaping up into the event, and review the range of probable outcomes.
-Andrew
Overnight/Economic Data
Consumer inflation expectations data came out at 3.6% vs the prior 3.5%
FX Market
Finally some relief via a weakening of the DXY US dollar! Bearish engulfed three candles in one fell swoop.
Bonds
Long-term US treasuries gave back all of their gains from Friday and are consolidating just above their 2022 lows ahead of CPI 👀
Equity Dashboard
Breadth declined throughout today’s session and finished the session with 61.0% advancers. Noteworthy outperformance from the ARKK innovation ETF in the last ~2 weeks.
NVDA continued selling, but TSLA took the baton, finishing +10.09%.
Equity Index MTD September Performance
All indices are in negative territory for September.
Index Price Cycle Monitor
ES S&P 500 - Above key moving averages and testing monthly value area high
NQ Nasdaq - Above key moving averages and above monthly value area
RTY Russell 2000 - Trading in between the 200-day SMA and monthly point of control
YM Dow Jones - Above key moving averages and inside monthly value area
In the following sections of tonight’s update, I’ll cover my research in preparation for tomorrow’s trading session
✅ Trend Model Update - Our proprietary indicator that informs us on how aggressive/defensive to position in the market
✅Market Strategy - My trading plan
✅ Today’s Trade Blotter and Position Update
✅Daily Watchlist - We scan thousands of stocks and hand-pick the best reward/risk opportunities
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