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Pristine Market Analysis & Watchlist 11/1

Pristine Market Analysis & Watchlist 11/1

The Fed's Mission is Complete!

Andrew O'Connell, CFA, FRM's avatar
Andrew O'Connell, CFA, FRM
Nov 02, 2023
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Pristine Capital
Pristine Capital
Pristine Market Analysis & Watchlist 11/1
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Team,

Market conditions are slowly but surely improving. HAGE🍻

-Andrew


News/Economic Data

As expected via the analysis in last night’s research note, the fed held rates steady!

Via Pristine Capital 10/31

The short version of Powell’s speech:

We expect inflation to fall and believe we have done enough on the interest rate front, but we reserve the right to hike rates in the future if things don’t go according to plan and inflation doesn’t fall as we expect.

The market is pricing in only a 22.4% probability of a hike at the December Fed meeting. For all intents and purposes, this rate hiking cycle…is over! 👇

Long-Term Treasuries

The Bill Ackman bottom is holding, and TLT is testing the 20-day SMA! Bullish 👇

FX Market

DXY tried to auction higher but failed ✔️

Energy

Just a month ago, crude oil was knocking on the door of $100/barrel. It is now trading at $80.91. Deflationary? ✔️

Equity Dashboard

The Magnificent 7 rallied hard, but overall breadth was only 58.3%

Index Price Cycle Monitor

Still a fair amount of red, but index trends are improving! 👇

In the following sections of tonight’s update, I’ll cover my research in preparation for tomorrow’s trading session

✅ Trend Model Update - Our proprietary indicator that informs us on how aggressive/defensive to position in the market

✅Market Strategy - My trading plan

✅ Today’s Trade Blotter and Position Update

✅Daily Watchlist - We scan thousands of stocks and hand-pick the best reward/risk opportunities

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