Pristine Capital

Pristine Capital

🐻A Bear Market is Brewing🍻

Pristine Weekend Watchlist 12.14.25

Andrew O'Connell, CFA, FRM's avatar
Andrew O'Connell, CFA, FRM
Dec 14, 2025
∙ Paid

Welcome to this week's edition of the Pristine Capital Weekend Watchlist! 👋

In this note, we’ll cover the following topics to prep for the upcoming trading week:

  • 🦾 Sector relative strength analysis across multiple timeframes

  • 🌎Macro Analysis

  • 📈Three A+ Trade Setups

And much more! Let's get started! 👇


🔗PRISTINE ALPHA TOOLS

Sector/Style Factor Relative Strength Analysis

A key part of our technical process is tracking momentum across style factors and sectors on multiple timeframes. Our goal is to follow the flow of capital and spot trend changes early

Style Factor YTD Performance

  • The momentum style factor is the leading group YTD, but it’s important to note that it peaked back in October. This could be a tell for the year 2026. My baseline assumption is that 2026 will be a weaker year than 2023, 2024, & 2025👇

YTD Sector Performance

  • What a difference a day can make. MSOS cannabis moved from last place, to second place on our leaderboard 👇

WaPo broke this story Thursday night 12/11

QTD Sector Performance

  • XBI Biotech leading in Q4. Could be related to expectations of an easier fed, and/or the rotation into small cap stocks more broadly as investors look for alternatives to megacap AI stocks 👇

1-Month Sector Performance

  • We are seeing a clear rotation away from multi-year leaders, with notable underperformance in BLOK (blockchain), SOXX (semiconductors), and XLK (megacap tech) 👇

1-Week Sector Performance

  • MSOS rags to riches & GDX outperformance following Fed Wednesday 👇

Key Ideas/ Macro Backdrop🗝️

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